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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 710d |  Talophex | RFK Jr. wins a state? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,045 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 715d |  rationalpositiveev | RFK Jr. wins a state? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,319 | +$16 +1.2% | 4 |
| 718d |  AvocadoLu8 fills | RFK Jr. wins a state? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $25,335 | +$548 +2.2% | 4 |
| 729d | Enchanting-Iceberg4 fills | RFK Jr. wins a state? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $8,778 | +$427 +4.9% | 5 |
| 732d |  fhantombets | RFK Jr. wins a state? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,124 | −$52 −1.7% | — |
| 738d | elPolloLoco2 fills | RFK Jr. wins a state? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,022 | −$90 −1.5% | — |
| 743d | Cutmanxd | RFK Jr. wins a state? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,493 | −$22 −1.5% | — |
| 743d | Cutmanxd | RFK Jr. wins a state? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$15 +1.0% | 4 |
| 744d | Zlatko | RFK Jr. wins a state? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,977 | −$34 −1.7% | — |
| 744d | Snake2u | RFK Jr. wins a state? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,983 | −$29 −1.5% | — |
| 744d | Snake2u | RFK Jr. wins a state? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$14 +0.7% | 4 |
| 744d | AntiMAGA | RFK Jr. wins a state? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $26,213 | −$336 −1.3% | — |
| 750d | nola723242 fills | RFK Jr. wins a state? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,442 | −$58 −1.3% | — |
| 761d | RD29 | RFK Jr. wins a state? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,771 | −$59 −1.6% | — |
| 764d |  ImJustKen2 fills | RFK Jr. wins a state? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,838 | −$186 −3.2% | — |
| 771d | acctpoly | RFK Jr. wins a state? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,048 | −$15 −1.4% | — |
| 771d | dsnuts | RFK Jr. wins a state? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,172 | −$17 −1.4% | — |
| 772d | 0xfe91…70ff | RFK Jr. wins a state? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,181 | −$59 −1.4% | — |
| 786d | otcguy | RFK Jr. wins a state? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,196 | +$8 +0.6% | 4 |
| 786d | AvocadoLu | RFK Jr. wins a state? | SellNo100¢ | $2,985 | −$15 −0.5% | — |
| 786d | Enchanting-Iceberg | RFK Jr. wins a state? | SellNo100¢ | $8,194 | −$41 −0.5% | — |
| 786d | ImJustKen2 fills | RFK Jr. wins a state? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,873 | +$77 +1.3% | 4 |
| 786d |  456ythgbvcadscvb | RFK Jr. wins a state? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,435 | −$42 −1.7% | — |
| 786d | 456ythgbvcadscvb | RFK Jr. wins a state? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,443 | +$35 +1.4% | 4 |
| 789d | AntiMAGA2 fills | RFK Jr. wins a state? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $25,912 | +$637 +2.5% | 4 |
| 791d | RD29 | RFK Jr. wins a state? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,849 | +$129 +2.7% | 4 |
| 792d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | RFK Jr. wins a state? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,234 | −$79 −3.5% | — |
| 807d | 252 | RFK Jr. wins a state? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,172 | −$241 −7.6% | — |
| 813d | 2522 fills | RFK Jr. wins a state? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,502 | +$266 +7.6% | 4 |
| 813d | Rectangular-SmokingNew account | RFK Jr. wins a state? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,702 | +$128 +7.5% | 6 |
| 823d |  50Whence | RFK Jr. wins a state? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | +$78 +7.5% | 4 |
| 823d | dsnuts | RFK Jr. wins a state? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | +$95 +8.7% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the popular vote in any state in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only statewide popular vote results will be considered. Washington D.C., territories and individual congressional district electors will not count towards the resolution of this market. This market may resolve immediately if at least one state has been called for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. for President by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC or if all states have been called by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. If all three sources haven’t called the race for all states for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.