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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 72% | +9 pts | +34 pts | 58¢ · 86¢ (28¢) | — | in 256d |
| December 31, 2026 | 28% | −14 pts | +4 pts | 20¢ · 37¢ (17¢) | $120 | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 123d | gydmasg | Will Surf launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | +$40 +3.7% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Surf officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Surf will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Surf (https://x.com/SurfAI), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 72¢ for June 30, 2027 means the market gives it about 72%.