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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289d |  CMCAM | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,827 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 289d |  aenews213 fills | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $75,769 | +$19,309 +25% | 20 |
| 290d |  ggmggn | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,420 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 297d |  JoeMaserati | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,146 | −$16 −1.4% | — |
| 308d |  chungguskhan2 fills | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $132,884 | +$1,276 +1.0% | 20 |
| 308d | Contrarian - 7451 | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,945 | +$55 +1.1% | 20 |
| 309d |  CastleRock | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | +$14 +1.2% | 20 |
| 309d |  elmcap2 | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,561 | +$78 +1.7% | 20 |
| 310d |  UnderwriterGCR | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | +$28 +2.6% | 20 |
| 318d | JoeMaserati | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,631 | +$37 +2.3% | 20 |
| 328d | Dufu | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,698 | −$301 −5.3% | — |
| 343d | noovd | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,186 | +$57 +4.8% | 20 |
| 346d | jimneyz | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | BuyYes8¢ → 0¢ | $3,179 | −$3,179 −100% | 29 |
| 348d |  macrosteaks | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,404 | −$209 −8.7% | — |
| 353d |  willis1111 | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | −$108 −9.9% | — |
| 355d | InsiderrrZ | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $4,075 | −$1,164 −29% | — |
| 359d | junkbonds | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $5,897 | +$1,474 +25% | 20 |
| 363d | caishiopt | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | BuyYes31¢ → 0¢ | $1,662 | −$1,662 −100% | 22 |
| 373d | Hard-Cart | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | SellNo74¢ → 100¢ | $2,540 | −$906 −36% | — |
| 378d | Hard-Cart | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$945 +38% | 20 |
| 378d |  ScottyNooo | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,582 | +$618 +39% | 20 |
| 400d | ganatalak | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $1,441 | +$1,305 +91% | 20 |
| 402d |  betwick | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | SellYes30¢ → 0¢ | $1,210 | +$1,210 +100% | — |
| 402d | betwick | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $3,119 | +$1,742 +56% | 20 |
| 402d |  iForgor3 fills | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $3,908 | +$2,813 +72% | 20 |
| 404d |  Car | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | SellYes54¢ → 0¢ | $2,700 | +$2,700 +100% | — |
| 404d | ScottyNooo | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | BuyYes58¢ → 0¢ | $2,992 | −$2,992 −100% | 20 |
| 405d | 72929292 | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | SellYes28¢ → 0¢ | $3,031 | +$3,031 +100% | — |
| 407d | kyledarian | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | SellNo49¢ → 100¢ | $1,343 | −$1,391 −104% | — |
| 429d | macrosteaks | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,126 | +$274 +24% | 20 |
| 431d | willis11112 fills | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $5,435 | +$1,303 +24% | 20 |
| 432d |  studmuffin69695 fills | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | SellNo69¢ → 100¢ | $11,218 | −$5,005 −45% | — |
| 456d | Striking-Yacht | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $1,953 | −$1,953 −100% | 22 |
| 459d | InsiderrrZ | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,129 | +$265 +23% | 20 |
| 490d |  PropheticFire | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | SellNo71¢ → 100¢ | $3,052 | −$1,248 −41% | — |
| 504d | REKTGUY | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | SellNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,490 | −$521 −35% | — |
| 520d | Dufu | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | +$275 +26% | 20 |
| 527d | REKTGUY | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,521 | +$467 +31% | 20 |
| 528d | Valquin | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | SellYes24¢ → 0¢ | $12,931 | +$12,931 +100% | — |
| 528d | Brysera | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $41,283 | +$12,823 +31% | 20 |
| 559d | Brixen | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | SellYes18¢ → 0¢ | $8,302 | +$8,302 +100% | — |
| 559d | Xyroth | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $37,820 | +$8,302 +22% | 20 |
| 594d | sportbet | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,178 | +$481 +41% | 20 |
suzhu27 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.