Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +67 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 244d | Trustinghorse7 fills | Will the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $26,987 | +$68 +0.3% | 4 |
| 244d |  Burnmoneyuser | Will the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,243 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 244d |  KENDAWG | Will the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,748 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 244d |  zhupercyclist2 fills | Will the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28? | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $3,163 | +$719 +23% | 4 |
| 244d |  MEPP | Will the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28? | SellNo70¢ → 0¢ | $2,502 | +$2,502 +100% | — |
| 244d |  Mr-Krabs | Will the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28? | BuyNo73¢ → 0¢ | $2,700 | −$2,700 −100% | 4 |
| 245d | MEPP2 fills | Will the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28? | BuyNo71¢ → 0¢ | $5,261 | −$5,261 −100% | 4 |
| 247d |  FATMAN | Will the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28? | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $1,147 | −$1,147 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize an Iran-linked oil tanker between market creation and February 28, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker” refers to the seizure of any oil ship which is described by a consensus of credible sources as Iranian, Iran-linked, or as directly and regularly involved in the transportation of Iranian oil. A tanker’s limited prior transportation of Iranian oil, without such a qualifying description, will not alone qualify. U.S. government forces refer to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors. Seizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.