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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 6 | 100% | +94 pts | +86 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| December 26 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 30 | 0% | −5 pts | −37 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 29 | 0% | −11 pts | −38 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| December 25 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 24 | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 27 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 31 | 0% | −3 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 28 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| January 7 | 0% | −15 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| January 5 | 0% | −1 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 22 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| January 2 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| January 4 | 0% | −2 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| January 1 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 23 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| January 3 | 0% | −1 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 282d | plankton2 | January 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,433 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 282d |  bamesjond2 fills | January 7 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,318 | +$74 +1.4% | 20 |
| 283d |  aaa65 fills | January 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $25,495 | +$83 +0.3% | 20 |
| 283d | Vital-Mathematics | January 6 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,468 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 283d |  Nik- | January 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,585 | +$15 +0.4% | 20 |
| 283d | yougotme3 fills | January 6 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,298 | +$224 +5.2% | 20 |
| 283d |  TealV | January 6 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,306 | −$179 −4.2% | — |
| 283d | plankton22 fills | January 6 | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $11,764 | −$2,556 −22% | — |
| 283d |  UwO2 fills | January 6 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $17,103 | +$464 +2.7% | 20 |
| 283d |  JasonPunos | January 6 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,196 | +$27 +2.3% | 20 |
| 283d | 1hbh | January 6 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,796 | +$330 +8.7% | 20 |
| 283d | 20BPS3 fills | January 6 | SellNo20¢ → 0¢ | $6,352 | +$6,352 +100% | — |
| 283d |  nt0 | January 6 | BuyNo41¢ → 0¢ | $3,986 | −$3,986 −100% | 22 |
| 283d |  Mythrust | January 6 | SellNo30¢ → 0¢ | $1,939 | +$1,939 +100% | — |
| 283d | TealV | January 6 | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,906 | +$1,923 +101% | 20 |
| 283d |  bigmoneyloser00 | January 6 | BuyYes30¢ → 100¢ | $2,177 | +$5,081 +233% | 23 |
| 283d |  aenews2 | January 6 | BuyYes25¢ → 100¢ | $2,165 | +$6,457 +298% | 24 |
| 283d | Mythrust3 fills | January 6 | BuyNo98¢ → 0¢ | $14,603 | −$14,603 −100% | 20 |
| 283d | 20BPS6 fills | January 6 | BuyNo98¢ → 0¢ | $43,920 | −$43,920 −100% | 20 |
| 283d |  HowToBasic | January 5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 285d |  PredictionYogi | January 4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,097 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 287d |  ZhangMuZhi- | January 2 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,064 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 288d | PredictionYogi | January 1 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,106 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 289d | kromeu66 | December 31 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,056 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 289d | aviato | December 31 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,954 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 289d |  jesterthegoose | December 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,001 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 289d |  MONARCA-DE-LOS-MARES | December 31 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,430 | −$37 −1.1% | — |
| 290d | Normie08 | January 5 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$168 +16% | 20 |
| 290d | kromeu66 | December 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 290d | TidusWale | December 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,514 | +$16 +1.1% | 20 |
| 290d | onekey09 | December 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,683 | +$36 +2.1% | 20 |
| 290d | 8de8 | December 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$23 +2.2% | 20 |
| 290d | aviato | December 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,123 | +$74 +2.4% | 20 |
| 290d | PredictionYogi | December 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,963 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 290d | MONARCA-DE-LOS-MARES | December 30 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,348 | +$7 +0.5% | 20 |
| 290d | kromeu66 | December 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$17 +1.6% | 20 |
| 290d | onekey09 | December 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,927 | +$73 +1.5% | 20 |
| 291d |  Jep-G | January 5 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | +$216 +20% | 25 |
| 291d | TidusWale | December 30 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,468 | +$46 +3.1% | 21 |
| 291d | Ashamed-Sentiment | December 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,857 | +$19 +1.0% | 20 |
| 291d | onekey09 | December 29 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,792 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 291d |  Kimera- | December 30 | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,075 | −$143 −13% | — |
| 292d | TidusWale | December 29 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,314 | +$154 +12% | 22 |
| 292d | hello1212 | December 30 | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,551 | −$560 −22% | — |
| 292d | beiji | December 30 | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,490 | −$546 −22% | — |
| 292d | lvdouya | December 30 | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,596 | +$570 +22% | 23 |
| 292d | beiji | December 30 | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,490 | +$546 +22% | 23 |
| 292d | guyu1 | December 30 | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,226 | +$489 +22% | 23 |
| 292d | hello1212 | December 30 | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,551 | +$560 +22% | 23 |
| 292d |  Bertschwert | December 28 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,453 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 293d |  Parz1vaI | December 29 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,779 | +$220 +12% | 22 |
| 293d | TidusWale | December 28 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,297 | +$17 +1.3% | 20 |
| 293d | PredictionYogi | December 27 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,078 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 293d | bamesjond | December 27 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,625 | +$54 +2.1% | 20 |
| 294d | TidusWale | December 27 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,243 | +$54 +4.3% | 20 |
| 294d | NefariousX | December 30 | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,123 | +$348 +31% | 22 |
| 294d | NefariousX | December 27 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,123 | −$77 −6.9% | — |
| 294d | yougotme | December 26 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,836 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 294d | purpleunicorn | December 26 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,208 | +$19 +0.9% | 20 |
| 294d | Parz1vaI3 fills | December 26 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,905 | +$413 +7.0% | 20 |
nt017,612 shares
Psychomer309 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration publicly releases any files pertaining to Jeffrey Epstein on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any release will qualify, including re-releases, redacted files, partial releases, unsubstantive materials, or documents whose contents were already known from prior reporting. Qualifying releases must be made by the Executive Branch itself, such as through an official government website, press release, or FOIA reading room. Transmissions solely to courts, Congress, or other non-Executive entities do not qualify unless the Executive Branch subsequently makes the files publicly accessible. The following will not qualify: -Announcements of releases that are not implemented within this market’s timeframe. -Releases made exclusively by courts, Congress or its committees, state or local governments, private entities, or leaks not officially attributable to the Executive Branch. -Leaked, unofficial, or anonymously sourced disclosures. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for January 6 means the market gives it about 100%.