Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 475d |  DirkDiggler67 | Will Trump cut Medicaid before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,093 | −$12 −1.1% | — |
| 493d | DirkDiggler673 fills | Will Trump cut Medicaid before July? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $6,797 | +$958 +14% | 4 |
| 595d | KaeKvix | Will Trump cut Medicaid before July? | SellYes22¢ → 0¢ | $17,161 | +$17,161 +100% | — |
| 595d | Thalvior | Will Trump cut Medicaid before July? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $60,845 | +$17,161 +28% | 4 |
| 610d | BlackPeopleDontRecycle | Will Trump cut Medicaid before July? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,891 | +$597 +32% | 4 |
| 627d | lug | Will Trump cut Medicaid before July? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $4,703 | +$1,965 +42% | 4 |
| 631d |  RiseAndSunny | Will Trump cut Medicaid before July? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,950 | +$550 +28% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that includes a reduction in Medicaid funding or eligibility is passed by both the US House of Representatives and Senate and signed into law by the President by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A reduction in Medicaid refers to a decrease in federal funding or a significant reduction in benefits, as widely reported by a consensus of credible reporting. Temporary or minor administrative changes will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.