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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25 | 0% | — | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 1 | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 22 | 100% | +46 pts | +60 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 17 | 0% | −4 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 18 | 0% | −5 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 30 | 0% | −4 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 26 | 0% | −6 pts | −12 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | ended |
| May 31 | 0% | −6 pts | −41 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 27 | 0% | −8 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 5 | 100% | +91 pts | +63 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 23 | 0% | −16 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 28 | 0% | −6 pts | −9 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| May 29 | 0% | −5 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 21 | 0% | −7 pts | −40 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 20 | 0% | −11 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 3 | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 7 | 0% | −14 pts | −41 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 13 | 0% | −4 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 12 | 0% | −5 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 8 | 0% | −11 pts | −43 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 9 | 0% | −35 pts | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 11 | 0% | −8 pts | −41 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 24 | 0% | −4 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 2 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 4 | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 10 | 0% | −9 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 16 | 0% | −8 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 19 | 100% | +90 pts | +59 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 6 | 0% | −30 pts | −41 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 15 | 0% | −7 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 14 | 0% | −27 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 138d | anon.1980.123 | May 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,341 | +$14 +1.0% | 4 |
| 138d | anon.1980.123 | May 30 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,439 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 141d | Trustinghorse5 fills | May 25 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,238 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 141d | anon.1980.123 | May 30 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,206 | +$119 +9.9% | 6 |
| 141d | bearbees22 fills | May 25 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,022 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 142d | MoronKiler | May 25 | BuyNo>99¢ | $235,828 | +$236 +0.1% | 4 |
| 142d |  takemymoney | May 25 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,990 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 142d | 033033033 | May 25 | SellNo>99¢ | $241,811 | −$485 −0.2% | — |
| 142d | MarkrovichBlack2 fills | May 25 | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,904 | +$44 +0.2% | 4 |
| 142d | anon.1980.123 | May 27 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,343 | +$24 +1.0% | 4 |
| 142d | 0xfifr4t0g0vkdkefp | May 25 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,160 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 142d |  thx4playing | May 25 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,134 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 142d | 033033033 | May 25 | BuyNo>99¢ | $94,198 | +$142 +0.2% | 4 |
| 142d | bearbees24 fills | May 25 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,123 | +$80 +0.6% | 4 |
| 142d | Trustinghorse | May 25 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,675 | +$84 +0.7% | 4 |
| 142d |  Soni-billi | May 25 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,960 | +$8 +0.4% | 4 |
| 142d | discombobulated-chicken | May 25 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,073 | −$17 −0.6% | — |
| 143d | NeoOracle2 fills | May 26 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,999 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 143d | Thrifty-Cyst | May 25 | BuyYes93¢ → 0¢ | $1,401 | −$1,401 −100% | 4 |
| 145d | NeoOracle | May 24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,926 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 147d |  Flat-Waterskiing | May 21 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,875 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 147d |  yen4u | May 22 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 147d | yen4u2 fills | May 22 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,109 | +$14 +0.3% | 4 |
| 149d | NeoOracle | May 20 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,284 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 151d | NeoOracle | May 18 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 168d |  0x039478r87r8yr3f7hd3 fills | May 1 | BuyYes>99¢ | $83,192 | +$83 +0.1% | 4 |
| 168d |  beenraping | May 1 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 168d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | May 1 | BuyYes>99¢ | $96,576 | +$291 +0.3% | 4 |
| 168d |  Raskell2 fills | May 1 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,400 | +$23 +0.7% | 4 |
Scandica216,500 shares
toutiege15,000 shares
UssTrippingHigh17 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for May 25 means the market gives it about 0%.