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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +94 pts | +91 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 358d |  cruzzzz | Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,498 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 358d | slavaamerica2 | Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $9,794 | −$42 −0.4% | — |
| 358d |  Allinnothing | Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,963 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 358d | Hans323 | Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,498 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 358d | 0x7e6c…cabf | Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,013 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 358d |  Anjun | Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,270 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 358d |  tsybka2 fills | Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,815 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 359d | StudentMoney | Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,059 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 359d |  duderr3 fills | Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,522 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 359d | MAGA.ONE | Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,448 | +$53 +0.7% | 2 |
| 359d |  Slowroasted | Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,607 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 359d | crispin23 | Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,297 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 359d | Pobby | Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,668 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 359d |  UGLYdomerHAHAHA | Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,295 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 359d | thatshappening | Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,033 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 |
| 359d |  trulygoated | Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,556 | −$40 −2.6% | — |
| 359d | hitjnn214 | Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 359d | 0x89cd…4d7d | Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,615 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 359d |  ScottyNooo | Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,196 | +$146 +12% | 2 |
| 359d |  intelmarketmaker | Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31? | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $2,127 | +$548 +26% | 2 |
| 362d | Thin-Print | Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 0¢ | $1,930 | −$1,930 −100% | 2 |
| 365d | hose | Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31? | BuyNo93¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 2 |
| 367d | chenmocm | Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31? | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | −$1,400 −100% | 2 |
| 367d |  VinnyViral2 fills | Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31? | BuyNo88¢ → 0¢ | $3,343 | −$3,343 −100% | 2 |
| 368d | cashsquared | Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31? | BuyNo84¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 2 |
| 368d |  kingsirpredictionconnoisseur | Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31? | BuyNo81¢ → 0¢ | $1,215 | −$1,215 −100% | 2 |
| 368d | 0x02e65d10e83eb391ca0c466630f82790854e25 | Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31? | BuyNo78¢ → 0¢ | $1,580 | −$1,580 −100% | 2 |
| 369d | jesuschrist7 | Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31? | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $2,440 | −$2,440 −100% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Changpeng Zhao receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.