Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7 | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 23 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| May 9 | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 13 | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 14 | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 21 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 11 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 17 | 0% | −2 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 10 | 0% | −3 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 29 | 100% | +82 pts | +76 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| May 16 | 0% | 0 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 18 | 0% | −6 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 15 | 0% | 0 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 19 | 100% | +65 pts | +75 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 8 | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 12 | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 26 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 22 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| May 4 | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 28 | 0% | 0 pts | −14 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| May 20 | 0% | −1 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 31 | 0% | — | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 5 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 27 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 30 | 0% | 0 pts | −18 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| May 25 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 3 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 24 | 0% | 0 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 6 | 0% | −47 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 2 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 1 | 100% | +53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 147d | Michael5289 | May 17 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,004 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 148d | Michael5289 | May 16 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,503 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 148d | Michael5289 | May 15 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,159 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 148d | Michael5289 | May 13 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,614 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 148d | Michael5289 | May 10 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,173 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 148d | 0x4b0e…0677 | May 23 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,966 | −$432 −8.7% | — |
| 148d | 0x4b0e…0677 | May 23 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,967 | +$432 +8.7% | 4 |
| 149d |  OraculumNobius | May 7 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,308 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 150d | NeoOracle | May 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d | Noteagle | May 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,990 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the specified calendar date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal executive orders will qualify; other executive actions will not qualify. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”. In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for May 7 means the market gives it about 0%.
