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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 496d | bobbyboba | Will Ukraine join NATO before July? | SellNo100¢ | $6,767 | −$34 −0.5% | — |
| 593d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Will Ukraine join NATO before July? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,223 | −$78 −3.5% | — |
| 619d | longdated-poli | Will Ukraine join NATO before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,769 | +$38 +2.1% | 4 |
| 633d | ImHereForTheRewards | Will Ukraine join NATO before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,302 | +$40 +3.1% | 4 |
| 633d | Trump2028 | Will Ukraine join NATO before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,369 | +$108 +3.2% | 4 |
| 634d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Will Ukraine join NATO before July? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $9,153 | +$381 +4.2% | 4 |
| 640d |  Geez-Jimbo | Will Ukraine join NATO before July? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,425 | −$75 −5.3% | — |
| 653d |  It4chi | Will Ukraine join NATO before July? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,145 | +$218 +5.3% | 4 |
| 653d | Geez-Jimbo | Will Ukraine join NATO before July? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,129 | +$136 +6.4% | 4 |
OpportunisticAlpha106 sharesIf Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.