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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | 100% | +19 pts | +22 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Senegal | 0% | −2 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iraq | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Norway | 0% | −19 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112d | SvenHand | France | SellYes>99¢ | $2,267 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 112d | Panchito.. | France | SellYes>99¢ | $2,749 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 112d | Sirtre | France | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | −$30 −2.0% | — |
| 112d | RoryKeane96 | France | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | +$115 +10% | 7 |
| 112d | ndb1 | Norway | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $3,412 | +$555 +16% | 8 |
| 112d |  iamnotthedragonman3 fills | Norway | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $11,611 | +$2,180 +19% | 8 |
| 112d |  JUSTINHERBERTMVP | France | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $7,500 | +$1,357 +18% | 8 |
| 113d | iamnotthedragonman | Norway | SellYes19¢ → 0¢ | $1,720 | +$1,720 +100% | — |
| 113d | neutralwave23 | France | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $6,744 | +$1,596 +24% | 9 |
| 113d | SvenHand | France | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,816 | +$454 +25% | 9 |
| 113d | dv-pm | France | SellYes79¢ → 100¢ | $8,480 | −$2,239 −26% | — |
| 113d |  goatyishere | France | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,635 | −$391 −24% | — |
| 113d | goatyishere | France | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,677 | +$350 +21% | 9 |
| 113d |  Gleaming-Pear | Norway | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $5,429 | +$1,357 +25% | 7 |
| 113d | Gleaming-Pear2 fills | France | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $5,532 | +$1,383 +25% | 5 |
| 114d | aaabbb3 fills | France | SellYes79¢ → 100¢ | $7,900 | −$2,100 −27% | — |
| 115d | Gleaming-Pear | Norway | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,755 | −$466 −27% | — |
| 115d | Papi-Robb | France | SellYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | −$266 −27% | — |
| 115d | iamnotthedragonman | Norway | BuyYes20¢ → 0¢ | $2,552 | −$2,552 −100% | 9 |
| 115d | iamnotthedragonman | France | BuyNo20¢ → 0¢ | $1,528 | −$1,528 −100% | 9 |
| 115d | aqzfssqkqzbcbr1994 | France | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $3,700 | +$925 +25% | 7 |
| 116d | gensoc | France | SellYes79¢ → 100¢ | $3,841 | −$1,021 −27% | — |
| 116d | Copyright-1 | France | SellYes79¢ → 100¢ | $2,765 | −$735 −27% | — |
| 116d | numbernine | France | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $2,375 | −$594 −25% | — |
| 116d | Diligent-Calculus | France | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $7,726 | +$1,932 +25% | 5 |
| 116d | 0xb187…0ab8 | France | SellYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,607 | −$453 −28% | — |
| 116d |  sharpmonkey2 fills | France | SellYes78¢ → 100¢ | $3,266 | −$921 −28% | — |
| 116d | dv-pm | France | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $8,468 | +$2,251 +27% | 5 |
| 116d | donthackme2 fills | Norway | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,702 | +$744 +28% | 4 |
| 116d | purplegatto | Norway | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | +$331 +32% | 6 |
| 116d | bin74848484848 | France | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,861 | +$629 +34% | 6 |
| 116d | blkmont4 fills | France | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $14,741 | +$7,380 +50% | 4 |
| 116d | blkmont2 fills | Norway | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $7,399 | +$3,957 +53% | 4 |
| 116d | anciano | France | BuyNo42¢ → 0¢ | $1,081 | −$1,081 −100% | 6 |
| 116d |  GobiDesertCanoePro2 fills | France | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $11,206 | −$4,044 −36% | — |
| 116d |  TEUPAIXD | France | BuyNo26¢ → 0¢ | $1,744 | −$1,744 −100% | 6 |
| 116d | 00XyXyzzyxzzqyej233j2j32h4h35 | Norway | BuyYes23¢ → 0¢ | $1,846 | −$1,846 −100% | 6 |
| 116d | Bigggggggg2 fills | Senegal | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,095 | +$44 +0.7% | 4 |
| 116d | TEUPAIXD2 fills | France | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $5,572 | +$1,915 +34% | 4 |
| 116d | zecach | France | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,560 | +$440 +28% | 5 |
| 117d |  ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD | France | BuyNo22¢ → 0¢ | $3,080 | −$3,080 −100% | 6 |
| 118d | GobiDesertCanoePro | France | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $15,233 | +$3,904 +26% | 5 |
| 118d | .moar.766Dd-94077Cc94527BC6 | Norway | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,185 | +$315 +27% | 5 |
| 118d | Bigggggggg | Norway | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $3,160 | +$840 +27% | 5 |
| 118d | bukajkeceram79802 fills | Senegal | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,300 | +$47 +1.1% | 4 |
| 118d | Lior-Pa2 fills | France | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $5,905 | +$2,257 +38% | 4 |
| 119d | Zzzz87 | France | SellYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | −$416 −31% | — |
| 121d | 0xec56…18164 fills | France | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $5,162 | +$1,509 +29% | 4 |
| 121d | radiator1989 | France | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$336 +32% | 4 |
| 121d | redvinny | France | SellYes76¢ → 100¢ | $10,169 | −$3,133 −31% | — |
| 121d | 0xe4db…7ea12 fills | France | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $2,176 | −$650 −30% | — |
| 122d | purplegatto | France | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,438 | +$406 +28% | 4 |
| 122d | Dishonest-Refuse | Norway | SellYes20¢ → 0¢ | $1,314 | +$1,314 +100% | — |
| 122d | dnasir | Senegal | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,241 | −$87 −3.9% | — |
| 122d | Frizzy-Hay | France | SellYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | −$303 −28% | — |
| 122d | redvinny2 fills | France | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $11,034 | +$3,786 +34% | 4 |
| 122d | 00XyXyzzyxzzqyej233j2j32h4h352 fills | France | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $4,979 | +$1,965 +39% | 4 |
| 122d | Present-Offramp | Senegal | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | −$68 −6.4% | — |
| 122d | marksoc | France | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,157 | +$771 +67% | 4 |
| 122d | 0xe4db…7ea1 | France | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,865 | +$961 +52% | 4 |
ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD48,560 sharesThis market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for France means the market gives it about 100%.