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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | 100% | +10 pts | +14 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| England | 100% | +12 pts | +15 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Argentina | 100% | +7 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| USA | 100% | +15 pts | +23 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Germany | 0% | −85 pts | −80 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Portugal | 100% | +30 pts | +25 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Morocco | 100% | +61 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan | 0% | −28 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spain | 100% | +13 pts | +17 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Brazil | 100% | +27 pts | +34 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Netherlands | 0% | −61 pts | −64 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Belgium | 100% | +41 pts | +44 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mexico | 100% | +38 pts | +33 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Senegal | 0% | −41 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Australia | 0% | −44 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Egypt | 100% | +43 pts | +56 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Norway | 100% | +36 pts | +31 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Colombia | 100% | +20 pts | +42 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Scotland | 0% | −1 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Canada | 100% | +27 pts | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Croatia | 0% | −30 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Switzerland | 100% | +34 pts | +35 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cape Verde | 0% | −8 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| South Korea | 0% | −15 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ecuador | 0% | −38 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| South Africa | 0% | −28 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 0% | −16 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Paraguay | 100% | +85 pts | +78 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ghana | 0% | −20 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ivory Coast | 0% | −35 pts | −32 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Austria | 0% | −13 pts | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sweden | 0% | −10 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iran | 0% | −16 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| DR Congo | 0% | −11 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Turkiye | 0% | −23 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Algeria | 0% | −34 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Qatar | 0% | −3 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Uruguay | 0% | −17 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Curacao | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Saudi Arabia | 0% | −2 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| New Zealand | 0% | −2 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Uzbekistan | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Panama | 0% | −5 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iraq | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Haiti | 0% | −2 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jordan | 0% | −1 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Czechia | 0% | −8 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tunisia | 0% | −1 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105d | trashtier | Colombia | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,463 | +$45 +3.1% | 4 |
| 105d |  alpheclabs | Argentina | SellYes>99¢ | $1,396 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 105d | trashtier | Cape Verde | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,829 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 105d |  KARTEROR | Argentina | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,500 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 105d | yoyobb2018 | Argentina | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,041 | −$167 −8.2% | — |
| 105d |  inactibeauctora | Argentina | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,931 | +$315 +6.4% | 6 |
| 105d | BossJoe1234 | Australia | SellNo>99¢ | $2,339 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 105d | alpheclabs | Egypt | SellYes>99¢ | $1,255 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 105d | alpheclabs2 fills | Australia | SellNo>99¢ | $6,370 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 105d | alex051997 | Egypt | SellYes>99¢ | $1,468 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 105d | yuekong | Argentina | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,933 | +$187 +6.4% | 6 |
| 105d | uptime07243 fills | Egypt | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $10,408 | +$4,462 +43% | 14 |
| 105d | shoemanhere | Egypt | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | +$593 +54% | 14 |
| 105d | Gaditima | Egypt | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,625 | +$875 +54% | 14 |
| 105d | MenacingTurtle | Australia | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,615 +54% | 14 |
| 105d | uptime07243 fills | Australia | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $10,501 | +$4,720 +45% | 14 |
| 105d | gaoshangliushui2 fills | Australia | BuyYes48¢ → 0¢ | $4,114 | −$4,114 −100% | 14 |
| 105d | vkvkgjerkgk | Egypt | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $1,155 | −$1,155 −100% | 14 |
| 105d | vkvkgjerkgk | Australia | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,848 | −$1,848 −100% | 14 |
| 105d | Wonderful-Patio | Australia | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $2,106 | +$1,295 +61% | 14 |
| 106d | sdiff1232 fills | Colombia | SellYes79¢ → 100¢ | $9,638 | −$2,534 −26% | — |
| 106d |  Yoriichi77 | Argentina | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,363 | +$151 +6.4% | 6 |
| 106d | pulgarcito23 | Cape Verde | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,800 | +$179 +6.4% | 6 |
| 106d |  Nz2027 | Australia | BuyYes44¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 12 |
| 106d | suntori | Argentina | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $9,709 | +$723 +7.4% | 6 |
| 106d | Nz2027 | Switzerland | SellYes>99¢ | $5,862 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 106d | suntori2 fills | Argentina | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $3,439 | −$328 −9.5% | — |
| 106d | MenacingTurtle2 fills | Switzerland | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,745 | +$134 +3.6% | 5 |
| 106d | yuekong | Switzerland | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$899 +45% | 12 |
| 106d | Nz2027 | Switzerland | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$1,868 +47% | 12 |
| 106d |  BabaVanga692 fills | Portugal | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $16,772 | −$1,570 −9.4% | — |
| 106d | alpheclabs | Portugal | SellYes>99¢ | $7,537 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 106d | alpheclabs | Croatia | SellNo>99¢ | $7,716 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 106d | 0x746e…3e68 | Portugal | SellYes>99¢ | $1,310 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 106d | alpheclabs | Portugal | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,811 | −$1,811 −100% | 11 |
| 106d | uptime0724 | Croatia | BuyNo33¢ → 100¢ | $3,300 | +$6,700 +203% | 12 |
| 106d | Wonderful-Patio | Portugal | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $1,990 | −$1,990 −100% | 12 |
| 106d | vkvkgjerkgk | Croatia | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $1,903 | +$1,169 +61% | 12 |
| 106d | inactibeauctora | Spain | SellYes>99¢ | $6,170 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 106d | BabaVanga693 fills | Portugal | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $10,046 | +$4,024 +40% | 6 |
| 106d |  balthazar | Croatia | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,970 | +$766 +39% | 9 |
| 106d | BabaVanga69 | Spain | SellYes>99¢ | $10,349 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 106d | 0x1a70…4865 | Spain | SellYes>99¢ | $7,844 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 106d | alpheclabs | Spain | SellYes>99¢ | $1,351 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 106d |  macrosteaks | Austria | SellNo>99¢ | $1,242 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 106d | MenacingTurtle2 fills | Spain | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,116 | +$84 +2.0% | 4 |
| 106d | omoi0i0 | Spain | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | +$128 +12% | 6 |
| 106d | uptime07242 fills | Spain | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $6,306 | +$762 +12% | 6 |
| 106d | uptime0724 | Austria | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $7,273 | +$959 +13% | 6 |
| 106d | 0x1a70…4865 | Spain | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $6,988 | +$864 +12% | 6 |
| 106d | BabaVanga693 fills | Spain | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $9,100 | +$1,260 +14% | 5 |
| 106d | absol | Cape Verde | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,263 | +$106 +8.4% | 5 |
| 106d | 0xe72b…3c9c | Portugal | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,420 | +$580 +41% | 9 |
| 106d | anaandreea | Portugal | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,451 | +$597 +41% | 9 |
| 107d | balthazar | Austria | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,098 | +$302 +14% | 6 |
| 107d | LilLoose | Argentina | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$87 +8.7% | 5 |
| 107d | yuekong | Spain | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,766 | +$264 +15% | 6 |
| 107d | FIFAking1 | USA | SellYes>99¢ | $2,360 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 107d | xiaoxiao666 | Spain | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,752 | −$285 −16% | — |
| 107d | alpheclabs | USA | SellYes>99¢ | $1,191 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
Odzfx54,936 shares
192236,484 shares
su28124,715 shares
TimeTraveler7,866 sharesThis market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for France means the market gives it about 100%.