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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8+ matches | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 7+ matches | 0% | −1 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 5+ matches | 0% | −19 pts | −52 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 9+ matches | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 6+ matches | 0% | −3 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4+ matches | 100% | +25 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 2+ matches | 100% | +3 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 3+ matches | 100% | +3 pts | +15 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1+ matches | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90d | AnewFaith | 6+ matches | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,939 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 91d | MoonLambo1205 | 6+ matches | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,685 | +$157 +2.0% | 4 |
| 92d | Moonshot10192 fills | 5+ matches | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $4,140 | +$1,860 +45% | 9 |
| 93d |  RVGym | 5+ matches | SellYes31¢ → 0¢ | $1,024 | +$1,024 +100% | — |
| 93d |  tomatosauce2 | 6+ matches | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,199 | +$74 +6.2% | 4 |
| 94d |  MrFeast | 8+ matches | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,614 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 96d | RVGym | 5+ matches | BuyYes56¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 6 |
| 98d | tomatosauce2 | 9+ matches | SellNo>99¢ | $3,795 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 98d | tomatosauce2 | 8+ matches | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,577 | −$20 −0.6% | — |
| 101d | yenky | 7+ matches | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$194 +14% | 4 |
| 103d | MaciBetting238 fills | 8+ matches | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $25,400 | +$5,498 +22% | 4 |
| 103d | MaciBetting237 fills | 7+ matches | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $13,662 | +$6,525 +48% | 4 |
| 105d | MaciBetting233 fills | 9+ matches | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $9,520 | +$1,256 +13% | 4 |
| 105d | yenky | 9+ matches | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$120 +6.0% | 4 |
| 106d | tomatosauce2 | 8+ matches | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,824 | +$204 +11% | 4 |
| 106d | tomatosauce2 | 4+ matches | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,037 | +$142 +14% | 4 |
| 106d | MaciBetting234 fills | 6+ matches | BuyNo49¢ → 100¢ | $7,016 | +$7,409 +106% | 4 |
| 107d | tomatosauce22 fills | 9+ matches | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $3,567 | +$646 +18% | 4 |
| 108d | conotocaurius | 7+ matches | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $1,881 | −$1,881 −100% | 4 |
| 108d | conotocaurius | 8+ matches | BuyYes21¢ → 0¢ | $2,057 | −$2,057 −100% | 4 |
| 108d |  Rex416 | 4+ matches | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | +$56 +5.3% | 4 |
| 109d | tomatosauce2 | 7+ matches | BuyNo51¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$989 +96% | 4 |
| 109d | ndb1 | 2+ matches | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,296 | +$37 +0.7% | 4 |
| 109d | MaciBetting23 | 3+ matches | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $3,960 | +$376 +9.5% | 4 |
| 109d | ndb12 fills | 1+ matches | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,822 | +$17 +0.6% | 4 |
| 110d | Tonzie | 4+ matches | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$542 +27% | 4 |
| 111d | PLB | 6+ matches | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $1,057 | −$1,057 −100% | 4 |
| 125d |  vinii | 8+ matches | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,274 | +$526 +41% | 4 |
horatio3,200 shares
labistiiia1,000 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 8+ matches means the market gives it about 0%.