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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lionel Messi | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Giovani Lo Celso | 100% | +32 pts | +33 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Enzo Fernández | 100% | +10 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Marcos Senesi | 0% | −5 pts | −44 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lautaro Martínez | 100% | +6 pts | +6 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Rodrigo De Paul | 100% | +9 pts | +4 pts | 92¢ · 100¢ (8¢) | — | ended |
| Alejandro Garnacho | 0% | −1 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Franco Mastantuono | 0% | −2 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gianluca Prestianni | 0% | −1 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joaquín Panichelli | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Emiliano Martínez | 100% | +23 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Máximo Perrone | 0% | −6 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Leonardo Balerdi | 100% | +23 pts | +15 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Julián Álvarez | 100% | +23 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Thiago Almada | 100% | +47 pts | +9 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gonzalo Montiel | 100% | +49 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Giuliano Simeone | 100% | +37 pts | −4 pts | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Nico Paz | 100% | +50 pts | +46 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Alexis Mac Allister | 100% | +39 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Agustín Giay | 0% | −1 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Valentín Barco | 100% | +48 pts | +37 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cristian Romero | 100% | +46 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| José López | 100% | +47 pts | +47 pts | 92¢ · 100¢ (8¢) | — | ended |
| Gerónimo Rulli | 100% | +45 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nahuel Molina | 100% | +45 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nicolás Otamendi | 100% | +48 pts | +18 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Leandro Paredes | 100% | +17 pts | +2 pts | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Lisandro Martínez | 100% | +1 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Exequiel Palacios | 100% | +26 pts | +10 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lucas Martínez Quarta | 0% | −44 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tomás Palacios | 0% | −2 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nicolás Tagliafico | 100% | +37 pts | −5 pts | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Gabriel Rojas | 0% | −22 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Juan Musso | 100% | +23 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nico González | 100% | +48 pts | +26 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 141d | Lautaro Martínez | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,994 | +$20 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 141d | Enzo Fernández | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,994 | +$20 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 141d | Giovani Lo Celso | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$39 +1.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is announced as a member of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. Only full squad announcements will be considered. Prior cut lists or previous squad lists other than the officially announced squad lists will not be considered. If a player is officially announced as part of the squad but is replaced before the nation’s first game for any reason, the corresponding market will still resolve “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the listed player cannot be confirmed as a part of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Lionel Messi means the market gives it about 100%.