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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Moneymaker | 100% | — | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Damian Salas | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Robert Eichele | 100% | +3 pts | +26 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Stephen Song | 100% | +3 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Jeremy Ausmus | 100% | +4 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Martin Kabrhel | 0% | 0 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Scott Seiver | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Kathy Liebert | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 96¢ · 100¢ (4¢) | — | — |
| Greg Merson | 0% | −4 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Martin Zamani | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | — |
| Joe McKeehen | 0% | −4 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Phil Hellmuth | 0% | +46 pts | +46 pts | — · 98¢ | — | — |
| Daniel Negreanu | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Kristen Foxen | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 95¢ · 100¢ (5¢) | — | — |
| Freddy Deeb | 0% | −1 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Erik Seidel | 0% | −49 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Brian Hastings | 100% | +3 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Tony Dunst | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Sean O'Malley | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Viktor Blom | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Gerard Piqué | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Jason Koon | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Joe Cada | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Daniel Weinman | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Robert Varkonyi | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Michael Mizrachi | 100% | +50 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Alex Foxen | 100% | +50 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Greg Raymer | 100% | +50 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Stephen Chidwick | 100% | +50 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Chris Hunichen | 100% | +50 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Ryuta Nakai | 100% | 0 pts | +48 pts | 96¢ · 100¢ (4¢) | — | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86d |  yen4u | Chris Moneymaker | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | +$23 +2.1% | 4 |
| 86d | countbinface33 | Chris Moneymaker | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,109 | +$22 +1.0% | 4 |
| 86d | Naropoly | Chris Moneymaker | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,221 | +$20 +1.6% | 4 |
| 87d | countbinface33 | Stephen Song | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,286 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 87d | 0x8931…a90c | Chris Moneymaker | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$28 +2.8% | 4 |
| 87d | countbinface332 fills | Chris Moneymaker | SellNo23¢ → 0¢ | $4,420 | +$4,420 +100% | — |
| 89d | jjj333333 | Damian Salas | BuyNo8¢ → 100¢ | $2,091 | +$24,194 +1157% | 4 |
Chrome10,241 shares
duderr2,000 sharesThis market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player finishes the 2026 World Series of Poker Main Event, Event #82, held July 2–13, 2026, with the final table played August 3–5, 2026 in a paid finishing position i.e., is awarded a payout per the official tournament payout structure. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No." If the listed player does not enter or play the 2026 WSOP Main Event, this market will resolve "No." Any case in which it cannot be clearly established that the listed player finished in a paid position will resolve "No." If the 2026 WSOP Main Event is cancelled, or is not completed such that final paid finishing positions are not determined by August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (two weeks after the scheduled conclusion of the final table on August 5, 2026), this market will resolve to "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the World Series of Poker (https://www.wsop.com). A consensus of credible reporting (e.g., the Hendon Mob poker database at https://pokerdb.thehendonmob.com) may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Chris Moneymaker means the market gives it about 100%.