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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1020d | SCD-8072 fills | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $9,530 | +$257 +2.7% | 4 |
| 1023d |  ImJustKen | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,208 | +$68 +3.1% | 5 |
| 1045d | madkkee | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY? | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | +$254 +18% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Yahya Sinwar remains leader of Hamas in the Gaza Strip uninterrupted from December 3 through December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.