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Polymarket wallet 0x03a81a2a98f355afb58f308bd4b78022a37258cf · on Polymarket since Jan 15, 2026 · also shown as Determined-Belly
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 833 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,855 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,309 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$145 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 275d | Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday? | BuyYes11¢ | $145 |
| 275d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes12¢ | $100 |
| 275d | Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16? | BuyYes4¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.