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Polymarket wallet 0x05bbd6a10993dedd24bbee7c7cceb5d80d19dddb · on Polymarket since Feb 18, 2026 · also shown as Orderly-Polyp
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 164 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,238 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$76 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 625 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77d | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | BuyNo3¢ | $5 |
| 231d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes66¢ | $26 |
| 235d | US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | SellYes2¢ | $26 |
| 236d | US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | BuyYes6¢ | $74 |
| 240d | US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? | SellYes2¢ | $63 |
| 241d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BuyUp24¢ | $150 |
| 241d | US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | SellYes1¢ | $162 |
| 241d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | SellUp3¢ | $1 |
| 241d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BuyUp8¢ | $1 |
| 241d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $2 |
| 241d | US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | SellYes2¢ | $3 |
| 241d | US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $95 |
| 241d | US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? | BuyYes6¢ | $200 |
| 241d | US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $200 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.