| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,970 | 30¢ → 16¢ | $305 | −$295 −49% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 117 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 129 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 70 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 35 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 28 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 35 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 17 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 270 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 50 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,068 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 17 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 25 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 49 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 63 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,579 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$135 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 35 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 63 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 50 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 35 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 25 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 35 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 24 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 277 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 35 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 35 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 750 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 35 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 130,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$130 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 30 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 17 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 35 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 35 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 7 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 36 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 40 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 45 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 93 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 35 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 227 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 35 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 55 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 35 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 35 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 25 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,914 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 35 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 65 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 35 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 4.0%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,154 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 35 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 50 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 50 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 50 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovka by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 714 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 109 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 30 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 35 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 25 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 111 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 91 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 35 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 17 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 68 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,171 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 25 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 17 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 47 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 70 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 35 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 35 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,150 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 234 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 17 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 50 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 48 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 306 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 50 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 98 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 174 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 48 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,667 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$300 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 67 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 117 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 498 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 52 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
