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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 278 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $278 | +$9 +3.3% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11,250 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 534 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 642d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $23 |
| 642d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting? | BuyYes3¢ | $15 |
| 642d | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting? | BuyYes97¢ | $269 |
| 678d | Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024? | BuyYes85¢ | $262 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.