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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 75+ bps decrease | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50 bps decrease | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25 bps decrease | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25+ bps increase | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 625d | upp | 25+ bps increase | SellNo>99¢ | $4,057 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 625d | BEST42 | No Change | SellYes>99¢ | $2,637 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 625d | 0x7353…19f0 | No Change | SellYes>99¢ | $1,014 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 625d | urbanjungleape | No Change | SellYes>99¢ | $1,959 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 625d |  ms.. | No Change | SellYes>99¢ | $1,598 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 625d |  mr.ozi | No Change | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 625d | Starry-Flanker | No Change | SellYes>99¢ | $1,027 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 625d |  9flare2 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes<1¢ | $5,952 | −$5,952 −100% | 24 |
| 625d | ryzt | No Change | SellYes>99¢ | $25,931 | −$26 −0.1% | — |
| 625d | Lopgft | No Change | SellYes>99¢ | $1,299 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 625d |  Oniidon | No Change | SellYes>99¢ | $3,101 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 625d | wokerjoesleeper2 fills | No Change | SellYes>99¢ | $39,960 | −$40 −0.1% | — |
| 625d | Larry88 | No Change | SellYes>99¢ | $1,816 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 625d |  Anon1792681 | No Change | SellYes>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 625d |  gopfan2 | No Change | SellYes>99¢ | $1,285 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 625d | rollothomasi | No Change | SellYes>99¢ | $1,362 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 625d |  BuckMySalls | No Change | SellYes>99¢ | $99,900 | −$100 −0.1% | — |
| 625d |  MotherTheresa9 fills | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $416,836 | +$600 +0.1% | 10 |
| 625d |  debased5 fills | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $62,081 | +$107 +0.2% | 10 |
| 625d |  dududududu | No Change | SellYes>99¢ | $6,190 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 625d |  🍝👹 | 25+ bps increase | SellNo>99¢ | $128,422 | −$129 −0.1% | — |
| 625d | tiago | No Change | SellYes>99¢ | $1,002 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 625d | josephcasa75 | No Change | SellYes>99¢ | $1,017 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 625d |  sorcerer.03 | No Change | SellYes>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 625d |  dombigdon2 fills | No Change | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $8,068 | −$126 −1.6% | — |
| 625d |  Dreamwalker | 25+ bps increase | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 625d | semi | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,063 | +$21 +0.1% | 10 |
| 625d |  LlamaEnjoyer | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,970 | +$30 +0.2% | 10 |
| 625d | DapperChapper | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $49,900 | +$100 +0.2% | 10 |
| 625d |  Donkov2 fills | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,984 | +$16 +0.2% | 10 |
| 625d | interstellaar | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,109 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 625d | NBetz2 fills | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $68,206 | +$192 +0.3% | 10 |
| 625d | abeautifulmind3 fills | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $216,133 | +$458 +0.2% | 10 |
| 625d |  DavidTrezeguet | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $199,600 | +$400 +0.2% | 10 |
| 625d |  sigh2 fills | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $51,489 | +$162 +0.3% | 10 |
| 625d | Liquidifier3 fills | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $43,817 | +$112 +0.3% | 10 |
| 625d | Dreamwalker | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 10 |
| 625d | tf2 | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $69,860 | +$140 +0.2% | 10 |
| 625d | 🍝👹 | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $128,259 | +$257 +0.2% | 10 |
| 625d |  Euan | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $25,972 | +$52 +0.2% | 10 |
| 625d |  Erasmus.14 fills | No Change | BuyYes>99¢ | $500,967 | +$2,147 +0.4% | 10 |
| 625d |  tsybka2 fills | No Change | BuyYes>99¢ | $28,983 | +$102 +0.4% | 10 |
| 625d | LlamaEnjoyer | No Change | BuyYes>99¢ | $23,594 | +$71 +0.3% | 10 |
| 625d | Anon17926812 fills | No Change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $19,890 | +$110 +0.6% | 10 |
| 625d | polyproguy | No Change | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,979 | +$21 +0.3% | 10 |
| 625d | 0x4e25…d7a73 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $26,685 | +$315 +1.2% | 10 |
| 625d | Anon1792681 | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,939 | +$61 +0.6% | 10 |
| 625d |  pirateshere | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,777 | +$10 +0.2% | 10 |
| 625d |  Ban4ik | No Change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$11 +0.8% | 10 |
| 625d |  Slowroasted | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,628 | +$7 +0.2% | 10 |
| 625d | longtern | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,999 | +$16 +0.2% | 10 |
| 625d | Siziriv23 fills | No Change | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $68,384 | −$1,385 −2.0% | — |
| 625d |  AgricultureSecretary | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,915 | +$120 +1.0% | 10 |
| 625d | Cbarbhwux2 fills | No Change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $26,247 | +$384 +1.5% | 10 |
| 625d |  Car | No Change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,959 | +$41 +0.8% | 10 |
| 625d | 0xB16B00B5 | No Change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | +$50 +1.0% | 10 |
| 625d | b1d00256-1e29-498c-8984-ac55cb860cdd | No Change | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,536 | +$64 +1.8% | 10 |
| 625d |  Kickstand7 | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $97,929 | +$2,071 +2.1% | 10 |
| 625d | DavidTrezeguet | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,630 | +$170 +2.6% | 10 |
| 625d | iidjefi | No Change | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,467 | +$27 +1.8% | 10 |
This is a market on predictions for the Federal Reserve's interest rates in January 2025.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for No Change means the market gives it about 100%.