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Polymarket wallet 0x121d62d2e9e9e073cb9a5c0b10bcd68d21c259be · on Polymarket since Apr 5, 2026 · also shown as Organic-Mix
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 1,700 | 59¢ → 94¢ | $1,590 | +$590 +59% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5,000 | 24¢ → 28¢ | $1,375 | +$175 +15% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,572 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$900 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,695 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,000 −100% |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,089 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$250 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56d | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BuyNo59¢ | $1,000 |
| 67d | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BuyNo24¢ | $1,200 |
| 75d | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BuyYes57¢ | $1,021 |
| 78d | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SellYes22¢ | $429 |
| 101d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SellNo95¢ | $2,436 |
| 110d | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SellYes99¢ | $1,321 |
| 124d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BuyNo39¢ | $1,000 |
| 130d | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026? | BuyNo12¢ | $250 |
| 135d | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BuyYes75¢ | $1,010 |
| 148d | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BuyYes50¢ | $461 |
| 148d | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BuyYes50¢ | $539 |
| 170d | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo59¢ | $1,000 |
| 194d | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BuyYes25¢ | $900 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.