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Polymarket wallet 0x15bfa6f8edc802edc345fe4f16d75dd9cb6d003d · on Polymarket since Jan 5, 2024
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 29 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 27 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 51 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 250 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 450d | Linea airdrop in Q3 2025? | BuyNo37¢ | $9 |
| 502d | Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? | SellYes84¢ | $474 |
| 502d | Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%? | SellYes4¢ | $5 |
| 503d | Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? | BuyYes21¢ | $37 |
| 503d | Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? | BuyYes33¢ | $34 |
| 504d | Ethereum Up or Down on May 31? | BuyUp<1¢ | $1 |
| 504d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31? | BuyUp3¢ | $1 |
| 504d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | BuyYes19¢ | $5 |
| 504d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | BuyYes4¢ | $2 |
| 506d | Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%? | BuyYes5¢ | $7 |
| 506d | Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? | BuyYes35¢ | $100 |
| 658d | Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024? | BuyYes19¢ | $13 |
| 660d | Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27? | BuyYes37¢ | $5 |
| 660d | Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election? | BuyYes8¢ | $5 |
| 713d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes55¢ | $12 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.