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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change | 100% | +2 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 50+ bps decrease | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25 bps decrease | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25+ bps increase | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 485d |  sigh | No change | SellYes>99¢ | $44,955 | −$45 −0.1% | — |
| 485d |  Ogonee | No change | SellYes>99¢ | $1,699 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 485d |  mr.ozi | No change | SellYes>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 485d | pako11 fills | No change | SellYes>99¢ | $96,062 | −$96 −0.1% | — |
| 485d | 24532255 | No change | SellYes>99¢ | $1,887 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 485d | affs207913 fills | No change | SellYes>99¢ | $14,486 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 485d |  MR.K-473 | No change | SellYes>99¢ | $1,781 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 485d |  meowinglion | No change | SellYes>99¢ | $99,900 | −$100 −0.1% | — |
| 485d |  HappyBear4 fills | 50+ bps decrease | SellNo>99¢ | $9,481 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 485d | lowrisk24 | No change | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 485d |  Tenebrus72 fills | No change | SellYes>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 485d |  Parz1vaI | No change | SellYes>99¢ | $1,498 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 485d | esac3 fills | No change | SellYes>99¢ | $8,991 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 485d |  imtiredb0ss3 fills | No change | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,134 | −$104 −1.0% | — |
| 485d | IBT | No change | SellYes>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 485d | pisch88 | No change | SellYes>99¢ | $1,207 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 485d |  MBB3 | No change | SellYes>99¢ | $1,210 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 485d | KING317 | No change | SellYes>99¢ | $6,072 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 485d | xige-589 | No change | SellYes>99¢ | $2,071 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 485d | Rin2x | No change | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 485d |  ParaNormal | No change | SellYes>99¢ | $1,193 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 485d | slight- | No change | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,657 | +$19 +0.1% | 10 |
| 485d |  Car | No change | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,985 | +$15 +0.1% | 10 |
| 485d | 0xB16B00B5 | No change | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,988 | +$12 +0.1% | 10 |
| 485d | b1d00256-1e29-498c-8984-ac55cb860cdd | No change | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,780 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 485d |  Cookedtan3 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $40,547 | +$727 +1.8% | 10 |
| 485d | ThereIsNoSpoon7 fills | 50+ bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $300,963 | +$301 +0.1% | 10 |
| 485d |  EA-SY2 fills | No change | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,265 | −$94 −1.0% | — |
| 485d | affs207913 fills | No change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $18,661 | +$228 +1.2% | 10 |
| 485d | QMG-CORE3 fills | No change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,720 | +$80 +1.2% | 10 |
| 485d | Naropoly | No change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,877 | +$23 +0.8% | 10 |
| 485d |  ScarletRot3 fills | No change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $103,004 | +$1,181 +1.1% | 10 |
| 485d | sigh | No change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $22,793 | +$207 +0.9% | 10 |
| 485d |  gopfan2 | No change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $49,550 | +$450 +0.9% | 10 |
| 485d |  lil-uzi-squirt | 50+ bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $37,835 | +$38 +0.1% | 10 |
| 485d |  Zykoer2 fills | 50+ bps decrease | SellNo>99¢ | $4,115 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 485d |  RelaySucks | No change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $17,411 | +$176 +1.0% | 10 |
| 485d | Hashbrown | No change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $19,800 | +$200 +1.0% | 10 |
| 485d |  dududududu | No change | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,978 | −$22 −1.1% | — |
| 485d | rwo4 fills | No change | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $34,570 | −$430 −1.2% | — |
| 485d | ThereIsNoSpoon7 fills | No change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $377,112 | +$4,945 +1.3% | 10 |
| 485d | Nonamem | No change | BuyNo1¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 10 |
| 485d |  Anjun3 fills | 50+ bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $32,150 | +$72 +0.2% | 10 |
| 485d |  debased3 fills | No change | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $31,802 | +$582 +1.8% | 10 |
| 485d | Occasionalbettor2 fills | No change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $41,247 | +$552 +1.3% | 10 |
| 485d | villas | 50+ bps decrease | SellNo>99¢ | $3,495 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 485d | mangotree2 fills | No change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $41,695 | +$544 +1.3% | 10 |
| 485d | wokerjoesleeper4 fills | No change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $88,722 | +$1,283 +1.4% | 10 |
| 485d | ThereIsNoSpoon7 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $193,715 | +$2,210 +1.1% | 10 |
| 485d | cipherpilot2 fills | No change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,815 | +$83 +1.4% | 10 |
| 485d |  risk-manager | 25 bps decrease | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,718 | −$33 −1.2% | — |
| 485d |  doyoufeelit5 fills | 50+ bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $61,516 | +$92 +0.1% | 10 |
| 485d | doyoufeelit4 fills | 50+ bps decrease | SellNo>99¢ | $56,459 | −$143 −0.3% | — |
| 485d |  tornadoo | No change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | +$14 +1.2% | 10 |
| 485d |  Alphax | No change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,162 | +$38 +1.2% | 10 |
| 485d | johnnyonmoney2 fills | No change | BuyNo1¢ → 0¢ | $2,066 | −$2,066 −100% | 16 |
| 485d | branman | 50+ bps decrease | SellNo>99¢ | $6,146 | −$12 −0.2% | — |
| 485d |  ScrapLover | No change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,568 | +$19 +1.2% | 10 |
| 485d | branman | 50+ bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,152 | +$6 +0.1% | 10 |
| 485d |  bosshog2 fills | No change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,933 | +$67 +1.4% | 10 |
lLeChiffre118,441 sharesThe FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2025 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 17 - 18, 2025 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for No change means the market gives it about 100%.