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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 38 | 53¢ → 100¢ | $38 | +$18 +89% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 79¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +27% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 25 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 175d | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyNo52¢ | $1 |
| 175d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | BuyNo79¢ | $1 |
| 200d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BuyDown51¢ | $10 |
| 200d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BuyDown51¢ | $10 |
| 200d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BuyDown38¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.