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Polymarket wallet 0x1aa685beb5fe3d69fedea782fcc17a00719d1162 · on Polymarket since Aug 31, 2025 · also shown as Splendid-Cameo
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 208 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during October press conference?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 19 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 18 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Thank you" 7+ times during announcement today?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 36 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Hottest" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 294 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 352d | Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during October press conference? | BuyNo43¢ | $8 |
| 358d | Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October? | BuyYes3¢ | $10 |
| 365d | Will Trump say "Thank you" 7+ times during announcement today? | BuyNo55¢ | $20 |
| 366d | Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31? | BuyYes53¢ | $21 |
| 368d | Will Powell say "Rate Cut" during speech on October 14? | BuyNo54¢ | $20 |
| 368d | Will Trump say "8 Wars" during Egypt summit? | SellNo81¢ | $17 |
| 369d | Will Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31? | BuyYes24¢ | $50 |
| 370d | Will Trump say "8 Wars" during Egypt summit? | BuyNo47¢ | $10 |
| 370d | Will Trump say "Hottest" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13? | BuyNo46¢ | $10 |
| 370d | Will Trump say "Tariff" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13? | BuyNo57¢ | $10 |
| 370d | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 7+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13? | BuyNo51¢ | $10 |
| 378d | Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000? | BuyNo52¢ | $24 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.