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Polymarket wallet 0x20ab34343b29f1656b16d8900a9c9001d6b9da2c · on Polymarket since Sep 25, 2024 · also shown as Productive-Grant
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 150 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $150 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 58¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$8 +72% |
| GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 130 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| GPT-5 not announced in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 120 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| GPT-5 released in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 668d | GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024? | BuyYes4¢ | $5 |
| 675d | GPT-5 released in 2024? | BuyYes3¢ | $1 |
| 676d | GPT-5 not announced in 2024? | BuyNo8¢ | $7 |
| 725d | Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024? | BuyYes<1¢ | $0 |
| 735d | Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024? | BuyNo58¢ | $12 |
| 737d | GPT-5 not announced in 2024? | BuyNo28¢ | $8 |
| 743d | Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $150 |
| 744d | Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024? | BuyYes<1¢ | $0 |
| 752d | Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024? | BuyYes<1¢ | $0 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.