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Polymarket wallet 0x23e61bd2f7d69859bec1aef26f37e70fa5ee2862 · on Polymarket since Feb 18, 2026 · also shown as Disguised-Loafer
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,604 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$87 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,042 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,177 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$474 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 25 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 148 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$49 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 226d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BuyDown33¢ | $49 |
| 231d | US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $37 |
| 231d | US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $50 |
| 240d | US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | BuyYes9¢ | $98 |
| 241d | US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | BuyYes18¢ | $228 |
| 241d | US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | BuyYes5¢ | $50 |
| 241d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $10 |
| 241d | US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | BuyYes18¢ | $99 |
| 241d | US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | BuyYes18¢ | $50 |
| 241d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | SellDown99¢ | $5 |
| 241d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BuyDown95¢ | $5 |
| 241d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BuyUp20¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.