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Polymarket wallet 0x27b4d449f1ebb00ba1e02a643fb882cddd519efe · on Polymarket since Dec 10, 2025 · also shown as Phony-Sow
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 174 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Maduro out in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,222 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,354 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$344 −100% |
| Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,070 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 479 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 493 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 279d | Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026? | BuyYes21¢ | $18 |
| 279d | Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026? | BuyYes26¢ | $65 |
| 279d | Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026? | BuyYes26¢ | $261 |
| 279d | Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026? | BuyYes20¢ | $100 |
| 308d | Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 31? | BuyYes12¢ | $56 |
| 308d | Maduro out in 2025? | BuyYes9¢ | $200 |
| 311d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes23¢ | $40 |
| 311d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | SellYes4¢ | $36 |
| 311d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes4¢ | $40 |
| 311d | Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference? | BuyNo5¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.