| Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 40 | 71¢ → 81¢ | $32 | +$4 +13% |
| Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 44d | Yes | 80 | 46¢ → 35¢ | $28 | −$8 −23% |
| SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 20 | 91¢ → 90¢ | $18 | −$0 −1.6% |
| Will Quillan Salkilld fight Benoit Saint Denis next?Ends in 295d | Yes | 10 | 57¢ → 40¢ | $4 | −$2 −31% |
| Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 44d | Yes | 20 | 38¢ → 17¢ | $3 | −$4 −56% |
| Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 44d | No | 5 | 54¢ → 65¢ | $3 | +$1 +20% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 60 | 20¢ → 4¢ | $2 | −$10 −81% |
| Alibaba matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 40 | 22¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$8 −88% |
| Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?Ends in 96d | Yes | 20 | 24¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$5 −96% |
| Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$0 −15% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 7 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 6 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - September 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 33 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 6 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 23 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - September 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - September 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 24 | 98¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 11 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - September 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 7 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - September 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 23 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 31 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - June 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - September 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - September 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - September 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - June 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 14 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 25 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 25 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 7 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - September 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 27 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 16 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 40 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 7 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 7 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - September 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - September 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 17 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - September 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 30 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 13 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 11 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Coca-Cola (KO) Q2 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth 3.5%-5%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - June 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - June 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - September 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 12 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 18 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 7 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - September 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 14 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - September 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 8 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - September 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 13 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 7 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 24 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 7 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - September 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 11 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - September 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 19 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - September 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 15 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 21 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 7 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 21 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 12 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 7 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 7 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - September 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 25 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 6 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 8 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - June 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
