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Polymarket wallet 0x2ba11850aa7f337438ea2f3829c0819aadef0c55 · on Polymarket since Jan 13, 2026 · also shown as Extra-Large-Stuff
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 105 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $105 | +$5 +4.9% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 44 | 50¢ → 100¢ | $44 | +$22 +100% |
| Hezbollah strike on Israel by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 23 | 87¢ → 100¢ | $23 | +$3 +15% |
| UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)Settled - ready to redeem | O'Malley | 15 | 66¢ → 100¢ | $15 | +$5 +52% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 13 | 75¢ → 94¢ | $13 | +$3 +25% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 407 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 276d | Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31? | BuyYes7¢ | $27 |
| 276d | Hezbollah strike on Israel by January 31? | BuyNo87¢ | $20 |
| 276d | Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ | $100 |
| 276d | UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BuyOMalley66¢ | $10 |
| 276d | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | BuyNo75¢ | $10 |
| 276d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BuyNo58¢ | $8 |
| 276d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo50¢ | $22 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.