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Polymarket wallet 0x2d744b403208f2777fa8a1164dd7436762bf12d0 · on Polymarket since Feb 9, 2026 · also shown as Polite-Mountain
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 84¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +19% |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 5 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −53% |
| Will James Parkin advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BuyUp84¢ | $1 |
| 47d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BuyDown93¢ | $2 |
| 52d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BuyDown90¢ | $1 |
| 110d | Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30? | BuyNo86¢ | $1 |
| 141d | Will James Parkin advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | BuyYes8¢ | $1 |
| 180d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | BuyDown76¢ | $6 |
| 180d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | BuyUp74¢ | $6 |
| 180d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET | BuyDown80¢ | $6 |
| 181d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | BuyUp79¢ | $5 |
| 201d | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BuyYes2¢ | $0 |
| 250d | Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | SellYes>99¢ | $10 |
| 250d | Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | BuyYes>99¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 8 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.