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Polymarket wallet 0x2e5789cbc4a07a11ba6fcfb9929e5cb7acabe5c5 · on Polymarket since Jan 22, 2026 · also shown as Competent-Spring
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 366 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,571 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 115 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14,144 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 24 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 38 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 216d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BuyUp9¢ | $10 |
| 216d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | BuyDown41¢ | $10 |
| 216d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BuyDown26¢ | $10 |
| 232d | US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | BuyYes21¢ | $1,450 |
| 266d | US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026? | BuyYes7¢ | $25 |
| 267d | US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | BuyYes14¢ | $500 |
| 267d | Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $500 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.