| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Ends in 256d | Yes | 3 | 79¢ → 84¢ | $2 | +$0 +5.7% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Ends in 256d | Yes | 9 | 41¢ → 18¢ | $2 | −$2 −57% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 51 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 263 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 11 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 17 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 13 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 17 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 25 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 11 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 19 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 11 | 94¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 7 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 28 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 91 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 12 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 18 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 261 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 42 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 6 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 19 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 17 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 13 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 23 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 23 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 12 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 15 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 6 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 12 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 98 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 21 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 89¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 7 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 42 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 54 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 11 | 88¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 105 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 16 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 30 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 11 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 22 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 182 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 6 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 88¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 133 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$52 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 14 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 213 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 5 and October 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 11 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
