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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?Ends in 75d | No | 3 | 96¢ → 92¢ | $2 | −$0 −3.9% |
| Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?Ends in 75d | Yes | 25 | 10¢ → 8¢ | $2 | −$1 −22% |
| Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 86% to 88%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 4 | 28¢ → 42¢ | $1 | +$0 +48% |
| Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 88% to 90%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 9 | 27¢ → 11¢ | $1 | −$1 −59% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11h | Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 86% to 88%? | BuyYes28¢ | $1 |
| 1d | Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 88% to 90%? | BuyYes27¢ | $2 |
| 1d | Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI? | BuyYes10¢ | $2 |
| 4d | Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 15? | BuyNo90¢ | $1 |
| 4d | Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31? | BuyNo25¢ | $1 |
| 5d | Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31? | BuyYes85¢ | $1 |
| 5d | Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 15? | BuyYes47¢ | $1 |
| 11d | Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31? | BuyYes37¢ | $1 |
| 11d | Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15? | BuyYes22¢ | $1 |
| 15d | Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI? | BuyNo95¢ | $2 |
| 16d | Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI? | BuyNo98¢ | $1 |
| 113d | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BuyNo50¢ | $1 |
| 113d | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BuyNo51¢ | $1 |
| 115d | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BuyNo50¢ | $1 |
| 118d | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BuyNo51¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 9 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.