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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,143 | 90¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | +$114 +11% |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 107 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 962 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 283d | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes90¢ | $1,029 |
| 311d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes97¢ | $999 |
| 311d | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | SellYes3¢ | $24 |
| 311d | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes3¢ | $50 |
| 362d | Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22? | BuyNo98¢ | $52 |
| 362d | Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22? | BuyYes5¢ | $5 |
| 362d | Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22? | BuyNo98¢ | $950 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.