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Polymarket wallet 0x38ad8e17666afb7dfc1efb744e6a6203cb7f7fbb · on Polymarket since May 25, 2026 · also shown as Apprehensive-Protection
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muse Charm released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 197 | 19¢ → 37¢ | $72 | +$34 +91% |
| Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 530m and 550m by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 115 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 90 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 252 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 108 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 121 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9d | Muse Charm released by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo19¢ | $39 |
| 21d | Will Trump pardon anyone by September 30? | BuyNo74¢ | $37 |
| 21d | Will Trump pardon anyone by September 30? | BuyNo76¢ | $42 |
| 21d | Will Trump pardon anyone by September 30? | BuyNo62¢ | $12 |
| 21d | Will Trump pardon anyone by September 30? | BuyNo50¢ | $13 |
| 44d | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | BuyNo11¢ | $10 |
| 44d | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | BuyYes67¢ | $71 |
| 62d | Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 530m and 550m by August 31? | BuyYes17¢ | $20 |
| 88d | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BuyNo23¢ | $26 |
| 107d | Grok 4.4 released by July 17? | BuyNo41¢ | $51 |
| 127d | Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes47¢ | $30 |
| 127d | Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by June 30? | BuyYes22¢ | $2 |
| 145d | Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026? | BuyYes24¢ | $62 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.