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Polymarket wallet 0x3bb17b43dd6cb2171c2336f7f8f2a3e64b1a8a4a · on Polymarket since Feb 19, 2026 · also shown as Plaintive-Heir
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 24¢ → 100¢ | $29 | +$22 +317% |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,128 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 239d | US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | SellYes13¢ | $1,086 |
| 239d | Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes24¢ | $7 |
| 239d | US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | BuyYes10¢ | $50 |
| 239d | US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | BuyYes18¢ | $1,500 |
| 239d | US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | BuyYes5¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.