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Polymarket wallet 0x3e2441b2d9459cd04a78ba409d612d82b41b098a · on Polymarket since Jan 10, 2026 · also shown as Negative-Cloakroom
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 284 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$142 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 56 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 347 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$139 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 22 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.