| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 360 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 60 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 40 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 110 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 130 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 7 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
