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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 15,458 | 31¢ → 32¢ | $4,869 | +$12 +0.3% |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 6,167 | 13¢ → 7¢ | $432 | −$350 −45% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 41 | 49¢ → 12¢ | $5 | −$15 −76% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 83 | 6¢ → 6¢ | $5 | −$0 −8.3% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 25 | 28¢ → 12¢ | $3 | −$4 −59% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.