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Polymarket wallet 0x41620c0fe88c9798c8a761cf7b8742fb946cd199 · on Polymarket since Jul 4, 2025 · also shown as Grandiose-Lark
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 431 | 70¢ → 100¢ | $431 | +$131 +44% |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 28,273 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7,500 −100% |
| Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,250 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,414 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,000 −100% |
| Trump x Xi Jinping talk before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 295 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 447d | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025? | BuyYes18¢ | $1,000 |
| 470d | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyYes8¢ | $100 |
| 470d | Trump x Xi Jinping talk before August? | BuyYes17¢ | $50 |
| 470d | Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison? | BuyYes70¢ | $300 |
| 470d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo88¢ | $1,000 |
| 470d | Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BuyYes27¢ | $7,500 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.