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Polymarket wallet 0x427b7253e698e973f8776265d98a204b611aec5d · on Polymarket since Nov 20, 2025 · also shown as Arid-Possible
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 83¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +21% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 20?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 86¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +16% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 92¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +8.6% |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +5.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 259d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | BuyUp62¢ | $1 |
| 267d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | BuyDown92¢ | $1 |
| 267d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | BuyDown99¢ | $1 |
| 267d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | BuyDown70¢ | $1 |
| 331d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | SellUp1¢ | $0 |
| 331d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | BuyUp59¢ | $1 |
| 331d | Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 20? | BuyNo86¢ | $1 |
| 331d | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21? | BuyYes54¢ | $1 |
| 331d | Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? | BuyYes95¢ | $1 |
| 331d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30? | BuyNo98¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.