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Polymarket wallet 0x4516b74ba19913918c45a1731ef344058e9914e8 · on Polymarket since Feb 12, 2025 · also shown as Impish-Breadcrumb
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 38¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$2 +163% |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 47¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +113% |
| Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 66¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +52% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 89¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +12% |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Magnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump increase tariffs on Canada before May?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 579d | Will Trump increase tariffs on Canada before May? | BuyNo69¢ | $1 |
| 579d | Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election? | BuyYes38¢ | $1 |
| 579d | Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BuyYes97¢ | $1 |
| 579d | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? | BuyNo89¢ | $1 |
| 579d | Magnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025? | BuyYes20¢ | $1 |
| 579d | Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025? | BuyYes66¢ | $1 |
| 579d | Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | BuyYes47¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.