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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal Party | 100% | +1 pts | +29 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Conservative Party | 0% | — | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bloc Québécois | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| New Democratic Party | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Green Party | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| People's Party | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 534d |  beibeidabest5 fills | Liberal Party | BuyYes>99¢ | $30,397 | +$83 +0.3% | 10 |
| 534d |  kk1472 fills | Liberal Party | SellYes>99¢ | $21,470 | −$57 −0.3% | — |
| 534d |  Sassy1 | Liberal Party | SellYes>99¢ | $1,701 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 534d | goldingboy3 fills | Liberal Party | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $33,088 | +$811 +2.5% | 10 |
| 534d |  sleepy-panda | Conservative Party | SellNo>99¢ | $1,841 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 534d | TexMexTRex | Conservative Party | SellNo>99¢ | $7,816 | −$24 −0.3% | — |
| 535d |  Astera | Liberal Party | SellYes>99¢ | $10,135 | −$30 −0.3% | — |
| 535d | Anatan3 fills | Liberal Party | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $5,966 | −$893 −15% | — |
| 535d | Astera3 fills | Conservative Party | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $7,887 | −$876 −11% | — |
| 535d |  O3O.legacy.0 | Conservative Party | SellNo>99¢ | $1,967 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 535d |  KimJonEn | Conservative Party | SellNo>99¢ | $1,494 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 535d | windscreenwipers | Conservative Party | SellNo>99¢ | $1,197 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 535d | 0x65c65De373A10e5f319f72 | Liberal Party | SellYes100¢ | $5,970 | −$30 −0.5% | — |
| 535d |  mantou11 | Liberal Party | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,979 | −$21 −0.7% | — |
| 535d | Greensky123 | Liberal Party | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,113 | −$124 −1.2% | — |
| 535d | tomato9 | Liberal Party | SellYes100¢ | $2,806 | −$14 −0.5% | — |
| 535d | m323 | Liberal Party | SellYes100¢ | $1,115 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 536d | Grinder123 | Conservative Party | SellNo>99¢ | $1,556 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 536d | beibeidabest | Conservative Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,423 | +$11 +0.1% | 10 |
| 536d |  sigh2 fills | Liberal Party | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $13,767 | +$8,344 +61% | 10 |
| 536d | Jbrackq | Liberal Party | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,567 | −$15 −0.6% | — |
| 536d | mantou11 | Liberal Party | BuyYes100¢ | $2,985 | +$15 +0.5% | 10 |
| 536d | please1000 | Liberal Party | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,167 | −$15 −0.7% | — |
| 536d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | Conservative Party | SellNo100¢ | $1,367 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 536d | cigarettes14 fills | Conservative Party | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $25,517 | +$10,899 +43% | 10 |
| 536d | Winninghumbly | Liberal Party | BuyYes100¢ | $3,532 | +$18 +0.5% | 10 |
| 536d | Predictandbreathe | Liberal Party | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $13,670 | −$128 −0.9% | — |
| 536d |  Bogdanoff84 | Liberal Party | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,115 | −$19 −0.9% | — |
| 536d | alvinasw | Conservative Party | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,807 | −$62 −1.1% | — |
| 536d | Samwi | Liberal Party | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,428 | −$16 −1.2% | — |
| 536d |  nsoojourney2 fills | Liberal Party | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,014 | −$70 −1.2% | — |
| 536d | 0x253d…33072 fills | Liberal Party | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | +$50 +1.0% | 10 |
| 536d | JSoon | Liberal Party | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,958 | −$42 −1.4% | — |
| 536d | 0x89c914bbf4aa6dcc78541598bd8861e5f225953 | Liberal Party | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,296 | −$46 −2.0% | — |
| 536d | nsoojourney2 fills | Liberal Party | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $11,616 | +$261 +2.2% | 10 |
| 536d | Anatan3 fills | Liberal Party | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $5,790 | +$1,728 +30% | 12 |
| 536d | Jbrackq | Liberal Party | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,550 | +$33 +1.3% | 10 |
| 536d | Astera2 fills | Liberal Party | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $4,414 | +$1,274 +29% | 10 |
| 536d | AvocadoConnoisseur | Liberal Party | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,347 | −$85 −6.3% | — |
| 536d | Immense-Predecessor | Liberal Party | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,981 | −$157 −5.3% | — |
| 536d | Pokymarket5 fills | Liberal Party | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $17,891 | +$1,966 +11% | 10 |
| 536d | Grinder123 | Liberal Party | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,042 | −$77 −7.4% | — |
| 536d |  Cajetan5 fills | Conservative Party | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $7,929 | +$1,757 +22% | 11 |
| 536d | KimJonEn | Liberal Party | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,965 | +$265 +14% | 10 |
| 536d | Samwi | Liberal Party | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,344 | +$77 +1.8% | 10 |
| 536d | Astera4 fills | Conservative Party | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $15,424 | +$4,585 +30% | 10 |
| 536d | Hashbrown | Liberal Party | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,789 | +$113 +6.3% | 10 |
| 536d |  BICTORY | Liberal Party | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,748 | +$73 +4.2% | 10 |
| 536d | NavX | Conservative Party | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $3,254 | −$482 −15% | — |
| 536d | AvocadoConnoisseur | Liberal Party | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$431 +43% | 10 |
| 536d | lava-lava | Liberal Party | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $3,201 | +$2,345 +73% | 10 |
| 536d | Questionable-Blush | Liberal Party | SellYes24¢ → 100¢ | $1,923 | −$6,215 −323% | — |
| 536d | sigh2 fills | Conservative Party | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $4,975 | −$4,975 −100% | 18 |
| 536d | AREMcFar | Conservative Party | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $2,032 | −$2,032 −100% | 11 |
| 536d | Folletin | Conservative Party | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $2,640 | +$1,360 +52% | 10 |
| 536d | Folletin | Liberal Party | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $4,623 | +$2,277 +49% | 10 |
| 536d |  nnimrodd2 fills | Conservative Party | SellNo64¢ → 100¢ | $3,071 | −$1,735 −56% | — |
| 536d | nnimrodd | Liberal Party | SellYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,299 | −$827 −64% | — |
| 536d | Sameera95 | Conservative Party | BuyYes37¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 11 |
| 536d | pvuong3953 | Conservative Party | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $1,066 | −$1,066 −100% | 10 |
BabyYoda1219,822 shares
bfabbs4,438 sharesThe next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to the party that wins popular vote in the next Canadian general election. Winning the popular vote is defined as receiving the largest total number of votes regardless of seats won. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Liberal Party means the market gives it about 100%.