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Polymarket wallet 0x4568da028e873ed91dd907d4929a42dcac8836ab · on Polymarket since Dec 18, 2024 · also shown as Vacant-Cradle
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,685 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $1,610 | +$110 +7.4% |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,602 | 62¢ → 96¢ | $1,539 | +$539 +54% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 177d | Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? | BuyNo89¢ | $1,500 |
| 177d | Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo62¢ | $1,000 |
| 177d | Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? | SellNo95¢ | $1,510 |
| 284d | Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? | BuyNo85¢ | $1,350 |
| 284d | Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31? | BuyNo96¢ | $1,000 |
| 479d | Trump agrees to send U.S. peacekeeping force to Ukraine? | BuyNo93¢ | $873 |
| 479d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyNo76¢ | $650 |
| 479d | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyNo87¢ | $500 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.