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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| December 31 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 31, 2026 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 30 | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 219d | AlaniNelson | March 31, 2026 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,268 | +$22 +1.7% | 4 |
| 223d | selador | March 31, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,607 | +$18 +1.1% | 4 |
| 269d |  Donny.T | March 31, 2026 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,504 | +$96 +6.4% | 4 |
| 282d | orlovgraf2 fills | March 31, 2026 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,526 | +$145 +5.7% | 4 |
| 288d | cezarn132 | March 31, 2026 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $6,400 | +$560 +8.8% | 4 |
| 289d |  ZhangMuZhi- | December 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,249 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 297d | Eatpraylove3 fills | December 31 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,794 | +$225 +3.3% | 4 |
| 320d |  Billionzz | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$72 +4.8% | 4 |
| 321d | Penguiner | December 31 | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,274 | −$126 −9.9% | — |
| 325d |  Rolocex2 fills | December 31 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,726 | +$596 +13% | 4 |
| 326d | 0x08ca0fb367c995d96eb12ad09d5eb8be793d2817 | December 31 | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,945 | −$237 −12% | — |
| 332d | 0x08ca0fb367c995d96eb12ad09d5eb8be793d2817 | December 31 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,587 | +$216 +14% | 4 |
| 333d |  copefan | December 31 | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,390 | −$484 −14% | — |
| 343d |  emcor | November 30 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,170 | +$62 +5.3% | 4 |
| 348d | Eatpraylove | November 30 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,145 | +$60 +5.3% | 4 |
| 348d | Rolocex | November 30 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,841 | +$126 +6.8% | 4 |
| 350d | e5fd19 | October 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,537 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 350d |  PredictionYogi | October 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,799 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 350d | nonkenny90 | October 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,986 | +$14 +0.7% | 4 |
| 352d |  lostmansoul | October 31 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,521 | −$23 −1.5% | — |
| 355d | Southusa | October 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,238 | +$13 +1.0% | 4 |
| 355d | 123erty | December 31 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $3,820 | +$631 +17% | 5 |
| 355d | LuckyPuncher | October 31 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,466 | −$21 −1.4% | — |
| 359d |  DumplingBMF | October 31 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,292 | −$48 −3.7% | — |
| 359d | lostmansoul | October 31 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,495 | +$48 +3.2% | 4 |
| 361d | rev169 | October 31 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,158 | −$28 −1.3% | — |
| 362d | BISTURI | October 31 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,500 | +$8 +0.5% | 4 |
| 363d | Strauss-168 | October 31 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,441 | −$25 −1.0% | — |
| 363d |  VPutin | October 31 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,811 | −$68 −1.0% | — |
| 363d |  Serega-pro | October 31 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,119 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 364d |  Ogonee | October 31 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,563 | −$37 −2.4% | — |
| 364d | tdrrr | October 31 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,504 | −$31 −2.1% | — |
| 364d | 123erty2 fills | October 31 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,148 | −$234 −7.4% | — |
| 365d |  PeroLoco0000 | October 31 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,293 | +$127 +9.8% | 4 |
| 365d | VPutin | October 31 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $6,120 | +$760 +12% | 4 |
| 365d | AnonDairy | October 31 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,535 | +$313 +12% | 4 |
| 365d |  Commmmmmunist | October 31 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,274 | +$87 +6.8% | 4 |
| 365d |  Brokeeeee | October 31 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,594 | +$354 +14% | 4 |
| 365d | tdrrr | October 31 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,524 | +$483 +19% | 4 |
| 365d | 123erty | October 31 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $3,267 | +$921 +28% | 4 |
| 365d | DumplingBMF2 fills | October 31 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $3,505 | +$995 +28% | 4 |
| 366d | amused85 | October 31 | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,307 | +$579 +44% | 4 |
| 366d | Eatpraylove | October 31 | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,943 | +$957 +49% | 4 |
| 366d | Strauss-168 | October 31 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,325 | +$141 +6.0% | 4 |
datrillest817 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent. For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for October 31 means the market gives it about 0%.
