| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 16,170 | 64¢ → 76¢ | $12,289 | +$1,920 +19% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 12,955 | 31¢ → 81¢ | $10,429 | +$6,472 +164% |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3,891 | 73¢ → 90¢ | $3,502 | +$674 +24% |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2,124 | 55¢ → 86¢ | $1,816 | +$646 +55% |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2,047 | 41¢ → 83¢ | $1,689 | +$844 +100% |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 705 | 61¢ → 83¢ | $585 | +$155 +36% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 599 | 56¢ → 84¢ | $503 | +$169 +51% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 75d | Yes | 471 | 52¢ → 75¢ | $353 | +$110 +45% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 430 | 18¢ → 71¢ | $307 | +$230 +299% |
| Maduro guilty of all counts?Ends in 440d | No | 385 | 78¢ → 67¢ | $258 | −$42 −14% |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 405 | 74¢ → 60¢ | $241 | −$59 −20% |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 8,602 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $194 | +$64 +49% |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d | Yes | 322 | 56¢ → 48¢ | $153 | −$27 −15% |
| Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 210 | 38¢ → 40¢ | $83 | +$3 +3.5% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 175 | 28¢ → 39¢ | $68 | +$19 +39% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 73 | 33¢ → 89¢ | $65 | +$41 +171% |
| Will Dan Scavino leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 77 | 55¢ → 73¢ | $56 | +$13 +31% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 690 | 29¢ → 8¢ | $52 | −$150 −74% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 488 | 41¢ → 9¢ | $45 | −$155 −77% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 47 | 65¢ → 87¢ | $40 | +$10 +33% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 39 | 71¢ → 88¢ | $34 | +$6 +23% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 14d | No | 34 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $32 | +$4 +13% |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 714 | 14¢ → 4¢ | $25 | −$75 −75% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 35 | 43¢ → 64¢ | $22 | +$7 +50% |
| Will Lionel Messi rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 81 | 22¢ → 27¢ | $22 | +$4 +22% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 44 | 45¢ → 48¢ | $21 | +$1 +5.6% |
| AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 26 | 76¢ → 76¢ | $20 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 25 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $20 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 488 | 20¢ → 4¢ | $20 | −$80 −80% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 535 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $16 | −$7 −29% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 21 | 48¢ → 69¢ | $14 | +$4 +44% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 17 | 73¢ → 79¢ | $13 | +$1 +8.2% |
| Will Euphoria rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 23 | 70¢ → 56¢ | $13 | −$3 −19% |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 13 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $13 | +$2 +15% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 14 | 35¢ → 92¢ | $12 | +$8 +161% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 17 | 78¢ → 71¢ | $12 | −$1 −9.7% |
| Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d | Yes | 20 | 50¢ → 59¢ | $12 | +$2 +18% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 11 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $11 | +$1 +6.7% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 59 | 17¢ → 17¢ | $10 | −$0 −2.9% |
| Will Erling Braut Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 63 | 16¢ → 14¢ | $9 | −$1 −13% |
| Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 11 | 46¢ → 75¢ | $8 | +$3 +63% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 9 | 57¢ → 83¢ | $7 | +$2 +46% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | Yes | 22 | 46¢ → 33¢ | $7 | −$3 −28% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 7 | 68¢ → 78¢ | $6 | +$1 +15% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 33 | 30¢ → 16¢ | $5 | −$5 −48% |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 5 | 76¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$1 +31% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 4 | 68¢ → 96¢ | $4 | +$1 +42% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 4 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $4 | +$1 +22% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 4 | 81¢ → 93¢ | $4 | +$0 +14% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 54¢ → 88¢ | $4 | +$2 +62% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 78d | No | 4 | 62¢ → 94¢ | $4 | +$1 +51% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 4 | 76¢ → 94¢ | $4 | +$1 +23% |
| Will Lamine Yamal rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 20 | 45¢ → 18¢ | $4 | −$6 −61% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 4 | 56¢ → 94¢ | $3 | +$1 +68% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3 | 83¢ → 97¢ | $3 | +$0 +17% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4 | 51¢ → 73¢ | $3 | +$1 +42% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $2 | +$0 +4.6% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3 | 50¢ → 64¢ | $2 | +$0 +27% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 4 | 23¢ → 39¢ | $2 | +$1 +67% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $2 | +$0 +13% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 2 | 44¢ → 63¢ | $1 | +$0 +42% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 1 | 71¢ → 94¢ | $1 | +$0 +32% |
| Will Conor McGregor rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1 | 67¢ → 82¢ | $1 | +$0 +22% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 75¢ → 91¢ | $1 | +$0 +21% |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 2 | 65¢ → 77¢ | $1 | +$0 +19% |
| Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 79¢ → 92¢ | $1 | +$0 +16% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 84¢ → 97¢ | $1 | +$0 +15% |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1 | 80¢ → 89¢ | $1 | +$0 +11% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 16 | 6¢ → 7¢ | $1 | +$0 +10% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.7% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 80¢ → 88¢ | $1 | +$0 +9.4% |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #2 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 74d | No | 1 | 80¢ → 82¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 1 | 70¢ → 71¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 1 | 85¢ → 82¢ | $1 | −$0 −4.1% |
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | Yes | 2 | 55¢ → 53¢ | $1 | −$0 −4.5% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 3 | 29¢ → 27¢ | $1 | −$0 −8.6% |
| Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?Ends in 281d | Yes | 1 | 80¢ → 72¢ | $1 | −$0 −10% |
| Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 90¢ → 81¢ | $1 | −$0 −10% |
| Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Ends in 74d | Yes | 2 | 42¢ → 35¢ | $1 | −$0 −18% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 2 | 65¢ → 54¢ | $1 | −$0 −18% |
| Will Stranger Things rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1 | 80¢ → 60¢ | $1 | −$0 −26% |
| Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2 | 52¢ → 35¢ | $1 | −$0 −34% |
| Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 2 | 67¢ → 43¢ | $1 | −$0 −35% |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 20¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$10 −98% |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Ends in 74d | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −86% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 88¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 434 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$130 −100% |
| Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 57 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth September 2026Settled - ready to redeem | Anthropic | 1 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,345 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 43 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,087 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 75 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$59 −100% |
| Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 122 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump or Melania say "Transgender" at the Military Mothers event?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
