Meerror

Polymarket wallet 0x4685b16fb6ae77a013b4b371947b080d83874de3 · on Polymarket since Aug 18, 2025 · also shown as Educated-Plume

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: −$139K
Volume traded: $21.1M
All-time rank: #3,205,715
Markets traded: 62
Recent hit rate: 4%2 of last 50 closed

Open positions

0 markets · $0

No open positions.

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
262d	Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	BuyYes<1¢	$399
262d	Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BuyYes<1¢	$97
262d	Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	BuyYes1¢	$700
262d	Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BuyYes<1¢	$200
262d	Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BuyYes<1¢	$98
262d	Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BuyYes<1¢	$300
262d	Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	BuyYes<1¢	$500
262d	Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	BuyYes<1¢	$780
263d	Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	BuyYes<1¢	$738
263d	Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BuyYes<1¢	$10
263d	Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BuyYes<1¢	$50
263d	Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BuyYes<1¢	$200
263d	Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BuyYes<1¢	$247
263d	Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BuyYes<1¢	$250
263d	Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	BuyYes<1¢	$1,000
264d	Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BuyYes<1¢	$698
264d	Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	BuyYes1¢	$2,095
264d	Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BuyYes<1¢	$400
265d	Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	BuyYes1¢	$2,771
265d	Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	BuyYes1¢	$1,663
267d	Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BuyYes<1¢	$995
267d	Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	BuyYes2¢	$1,500
267d	Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	BuyYes2¢	$3,290
267d	Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BuyYes<1¢	$1,000
267d	Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BuyYes<1¢	$500
311d	No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	BuyYes3¢	$784
311d	Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	BuyYes1¢	$1,000
311d	Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	BuyYes1¢	$2,764
311d	No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	BuyYes3¢	$1,200
312d	Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	BuyYes1¢	$1,600
312d	Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	BuyYes1¢	$276
312d	No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	BuyYes5¢	$800
312d	Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	BuyYes1¢	$1,728
312d	No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	BuyYes6¢	$750
318d	No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	BuyYes6¢	$1,671
318d	Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	BuyYes1¢	$600
318d	Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	BuyYes<1¢	$1,000
395d	No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	BuyYes3¢	$2,283
396d	Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	BuyYes5¢	$64
396d	Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	BuyYes6¢	$6,666
396d	Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	BuyYes3¢	$3,452
396d	No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	BuyYes2¢	$3,500
396d	Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	BuyYes3¢	$3,773
396d	Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	BuyYes4¢	$3,719
396d	Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	BuyYes4¢	$4,171
396d	Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	BuyYes8¢	$7,723
396d	Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	BuyYes8¢	$5,958
400d	Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 15?	BuyYes2¢	$107
402d	Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?	SellYes<1¢	$107
403d	Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?	BuyYes1¢	$294
403d	Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?	BuyYes1¢	$100
403d	Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?	BuyYes1¢	$100
403d	Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?	BuyYes<1¢	$200
407d	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80-90 million views on week 1?	BuyYes3¢	$197
407d	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September meeting?	BuyYes<1¢	$100
407d	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?	BuyYes2¢	$100
407d	Will the ECB announce an increase at the September meeting?	BuyYes<1¢	$100
409d	Will Elon tweet 385–399 times August 29–September 5?	BuyYes2¢	$215
409d	Will Elon tweet 385–399 times August 29–September 5?	BuyYes1¢	$200
409d	Will Elon tweet 370–384 times August 29–September 5?	BuyYes1¢	$207

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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