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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $19 | +$2 +9.3% |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $7 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$0 +1.5% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 323d | Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | SellYes<1¢ | $5 |
| 324d | Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BuyYes<1¢ | $10 |
| 324d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | SellNo99¢ | $4,719 |
| 325d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyNo99¢ | $4,719 |
| 325d | Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31? | BuyNo99¢ | $5 |
| 325d | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? | BuyNo98¢ | $7 |
| 325d | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ | $10 |
| 325d | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BuyNo89¢ | $18 |
| 325d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo98¢ | $6 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.